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Dennis

OCHA Situation Report No. 5 Hurricane Dennis - Cuba

Published on July 12, 2005 1:39 AM | Comments

SITUATION

1. Between 7-9 July, Hurricane Dennis, classified as a category IV event, has devastated some 600 km of territory in Cuba, triggering a serious sea surge, flooding, landslides and heavy rains. The maximum sustained winds reached above 200 km/PH with extreme gusts.

2. According to the UN Resident Coordinator’s office in Havana, Hurricane Dennis has caused extensive damage in 11 provinces, affecting some 8 million persons, out of the total population of 11.1 million, rendering this one of the most devastating natural phenomena affecting the country in the last decades.

3. The most affected areas are: Guamà, II and III Frente in Santiago de Cuba province, Pilon, Niquero, Media Luna, Campechuela and Manzanillo in Granma province, Santacruz del Sur, and Vertientes in Camaguey province, Trinidad, Tunas de Zaza y Mèdano in Sancti Spiritus province, Manicaragua in Vila Clara province and all municipalities in Cienfuegos province, Cienaga de Zapata and Jaguey Grande in Matanzas province.

4. According to official figures received from the National Civil Defense, 10 persons have been killed, while 1,535,545 have been evacuated, of which 129,626 were students and 16,873 tourists. Major damages are reported in the housing, agriculture electricity, water supply, telecommunication and transportation sectors.

5. A preliminary assessment of the National Civil Defense indicates that 46,318 houses were damaged. 14,617 houses suffered total destruction, of which 6,327 collapsed and 8,290 with destroyed roofs. Consequently 73,000 persons are left homeless and 158,500 persons are without adequate shelter as the roofs of their homes were completely destroyed.

DAMAGE SUFFERED BY KEY SECTORS

6. Housing
Cienfuegos Province

Total houses affected 11, 163
Total collapse 1, 092
Partial collapse 2, 146


La Habana Province

Total house affected 4, 165
Total collapse 73
Partial collapse 269


Ciudad de la Habana Province

Total house affected 334
Total collapse 0
Partial collapse 7


Matanzas Province

Total house affected 3, 284
Total collapse 193
Partial collapse 325


Sancti Spiritus Province

Total house affected 1, 777
Total collapse 278
Partial collapse 1, 499


Ciego de Avila Province

Total house affected 1, 069
Total collapse 17
Partial collapse 30


Camaguey Province

Total house affected 5, 436
Total collapse 172
Partial collapse 512


Santiago de Cuba Province

Total house affected 4, 090
Total collapse 502
Partial collapse 1, 000


7. Agriculture
In the provinces of Villa Clara and Cienfugos, the mango, papaya, orange and banana as well as the irrigation systems, suffered considerable damage. In Granma Province several thousands hectares of grains, cabbages and corn were destroyed.

8. Water supply
In Granma Province 70% of the water supply is contaminated. The provincial authorities have organized an emergency distribution of water.

9. Transportation
The principal road connecting the Provinces of Santiago de Cuba and Granma has been blocked due to a collapsed bridge.

10. Communications
The telephone lines in 28 locations in the provinces of Santiago de Cuba, Granma, Cienfuegos, Sancti Spiritus and Matanzas are interrupted.

NATIONAL RESPONSE

11. The national authorities mobilized 140,000 persons and 4,348 transportation means and public works machinery to face the hurricane’s consequences and to assist in evacuation of more than 1.5 million persons.

12. The Government activated 978 food distribution centers and 1,804 emergency shelters, of which 805 in the schools. All houses are currently evaluated in terms of safety for returnees. Priority attention is also required for sanitation requirements. 42 out of 53 major food shops were evacuated and 478,053 animals have been relocated to safe areas.

UN SYSTEM RESPONSE

13. The UN Resident Coordinator’s Office and the National Civil Defense Office have established a coordination and information mechanism to facilitate coordination of disaster response activities and information flow.

14. The same office convened several coordination and information meetings with all UN agencies, NGOs, cooperation agencies and foreign embassies.

15. Following the request of the UN Resident Coordinator UN-OCHA has released USD 50,000 for emergency response coordination and purchase of relief items.

16. OCHA remains in close contact with the UN Resident Coordinator’s Offices in Cuba and will continue reporting as further information is made available.

17. For tracking and further information, please refer to the Website of the National Hurricane Service in Miami at www.nhc.noaa.gov, and www.solar.ifa.hawaii.edu/Tropical/Gif/atl.latest.gif.

18. This situation report, together with further information on ongoing emergencies, is also available on the OCHA Internet Website at http://www.reliefweb.int



Satellite photo of Hurricane Dennis

Published on July 8, 2005 11:30 PM | Comments

hurricaen-dennis-cuba.jpg

Hurricane Dennis about to make landfall on Cuba. Image from the NOAA



HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 18

Published on July 8, 2005 11:25 PM | Comments

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

...DENNIS WEAKENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE AS IT APPROACHES HAVANA
AND THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO. EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA MAY
BE CANCELLED SATURDAY MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF AND
FLORIDA BAY.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEASTERN
GULF COAST FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER WESTWARD TO THE MOUTH OF THE
PEARL RIVER. HURRICANE WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THIS AREA SATURDAY MORNING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM ANCLOTE KEY SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST
FROM GOLDEN BEACH SOUTHWARD.

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA COAST WEST OF THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE
PONCHARTRAIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST FROM NORTH OF ANCLOTE KEY NORTHWARD TO EAST OF THE
STEINHATCHEE RIVER.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...THE EASTERN
GULF OF MEXICO...AND FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DENNIS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 30 KM...EAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 110 MILES... 180
KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR... AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF DENNIS NEAR HAVANA AND INTO
THE STRIATS OF FLORIDA DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...THEN NEAR THE
DRY TORTUGAS ON SATURDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HOWEVER...IT IS EXPECTED TO RE-INTENSIFY
INTO A MAJOR HURRICANE UPON REACHING THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 65 MILES...100 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM. KEY WEST FLORIDA RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 44 MPH WITH A GUST TO 54 MPH. TROPICAL-STORM FORCE WIND
GUSTS ARE ALSO OCCURRING IN SQUALLS AS FAR NORTH AS THE MIAMI AREA.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 962 MB...28.41 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS. ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER CUBA AND CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM
TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE STILL POSSIBLE
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA.
HIGHER VALUES OF STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE IN BAYS AND INLETS. A
STORM SURGE OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS. A
STORM SURGE OF 4 TO 7 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
FLORIDA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...23.0 N... 82.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...110 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 962 MB.

INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 AM EDT AND 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED
BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.



HURRICANE DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A

Published on July 8, 2005 9:27 AM | Comments

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

...DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO BECOME
BETTER ORGANIZED SOUTH OF CENTRAL CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF LA
HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS... VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...HOLGUIN AND GUANTANAMO. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH AND THE
PROVINCE OF PINAR DEL RIO.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO THE DRY TORTUGAS. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...EAST OF THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO
OCEAN REEF AND FLORIDA BAY.

AT 800AM EDT...1200Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS WITH A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAYMAN BRAC AND LITTLE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
ALL WARNINGS HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED FOR GRAND CAYMAN ISLAND.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH...AND ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SOUTH OF
GOLDEN BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF BONITA BEACH TO LONGBOAT KEY.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE
WARNING AREA. A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...FLORIDA...AND THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES...
370 KM...SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 285 MILES...460 KM...
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR.
DENNIS HAS MADE A SLIGHT WOBBLE AND HAS SLOWED DOWN SLIGHTLY DURING
THE PAST 6 HOURS. HOWEVER...A GENERAL MOTION TO THE NORTHWEST...
ALONG WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED TO RESUME
LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE EYE OF DENNIS WILL REACH THE SOUTH-CENTRAL COAST OF CUBA
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
BEFORE LANDFALL IN CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES... 85 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER CUBA...WITH LOCAL 15 INCH AMOUNTS OVER THE SIERRA
MAESTRA MOUNTAINS OF SOUTHEASTERN CUBA. RAINFALL OF 4 TO 8 INCHES
IS EXPECTED OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA...JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF CUBA EAST OF
CABO CRUZ. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE OF NEAR 20 FEET IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA WEST OF CABO CRUZ. A STORM SURGE
OF 3 TO 6 FEET IS POSSIBLE IN THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...20.9 N... 79.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 950 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 AM EDT.



HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 12

Published on July 7, 2005 2:51 PM | Comments

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

...HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS...TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR
THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS EXTENDED THE
HURRICANE WATCHES AND WARNINGS WESTWARD. A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW
IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF MATANZAS...VILLA CLARA...
CIENFUEGOS...SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO. A HURRICANE
WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINING PROVINCES OF CUBA
INCLUDING THE ISLE OF YOUTH...PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE
LA HABANA...AND HOLGUIN.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 11 AM EDT...A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY. ALSO AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
IS ISSUED FOR ALL OF THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM GOLDEN
BEACH SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST AND SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH ON THE
WEST COAST.

A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE OR TROPICAL
STORM CONDITIONS...RESPECTIVELY...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD...ALL OF
JAMAICA...AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES... 125 KM... EAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 155 MILES...
250 KM...SOUTH OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE PASSING VERY NEAR JAMAICA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DENNIS IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A
MAJOR HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 968 MB...28.59 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...CUBA...AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS NEAR THE CENTER. A MUCH LARGER STORM SURGE
OF 12 TO 14 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHERN COAST OF CUBA FROM
CAMAGUEY WESTWARD.

REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.0 N... 75.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 968 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY



HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 10

Published on July 6, 2005 10:50 PM | Comments

HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

...DENNIS CONTINUING TO INTENSIFY EAST-SOUTHEAST OF JAMAICA...
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR ALL OF THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA
OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD...ALL OF
JAMAICA...ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA
FOR THE PROVINCES OF GRANMA...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
EASTERN CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE
AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...AND HOLGUIN. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY
BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREA THURSDAY MORNING.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 245
MILES... 400 KM... EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 280
MILES... 455 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR...
AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PASS OVER OR JUST
EAST OF JAMAICA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THIS MAKES DENNIS A CATEGORY 1 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A STRONG CATEGORY 2
HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES JAMAICA THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY A NOAA HURRICANE
HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 980 MB...28.94 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO
10 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN HISPANIOLA...JAMAICA...EASTERN CUBA...AND
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF JAMAICA. THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...16.5 N... 73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 980 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT.



Tropical Storm Dennis Advisory 6A

Published on July 6, 2005 9:21 AM | Comments

TROPICAL STORM DENNIS INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT WED JUL 06 2005

...ADDED MISSING TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR PORTIONS OF DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...

...DENNIS CONTINUES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL
CARIBBEAN...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND FOR THE
SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD TO THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC BORDER.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND FOR
EASTERN CUBA...FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS...GRANMA...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...GUANTANAMO AND HOLGUIN.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.8 WEST OR ABOUT
255 MILES... 410 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI
AND ABOUT 440 MILES... 710 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS
TRACK...DENNIS WILL BE NEAR JAMAICA EARLY THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED ARE ESTIMATED NEAR 65 MPH... 100 KM/HR... WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES.

DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO
6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF HISPANIOLA WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...15.2 N... 70.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM EDT.



Tropical Storm Dennis

Published on July 5, 2005 11:56 AM | Comments

TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE JUL 05 2005

...CARIBBEAN DEPRESSION BECOMES TROPICAL STORM DENNIS...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA WESTWARD AND THE GOVERNMENT OF HAITI HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF HAITI
FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER AND PORT-AU-PRINCE WESTWARD.
INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR HAS
STRENGTHENED INTO A TROPICAL STORM. JULY 5 IS THE EARLIEST DATE ON
RECORD FOR 4 NAMED STORMS TO HAVE FORMED IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN.

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 66.6 WEST OR ABOUT
355 MILES... 570 KM... SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.

DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH ...30
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...13.3 N... 66.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.