Caribbean-On-Line's Caribbean Hurricane Blog



Harvey

Harvey & TD 9

Published on August 5, 2005 9:24 AM | Comments

Harvey is not a threat to the Caribbean, but TD 9 could be at some point next week - more specifically it could be a potential problem for the Bahamas or Bermuda as it looks now. We'll be keeping a close eye on this one.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI AUG 05 2005

...POORLY ORGANIZED DEPRESSION MOVING OVER THE OPEN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION NINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE
36.1 WEST OR ABOUT 785 MILES...1260 KM... WEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH
...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY SATURDAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.4 N... 36.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST.



Tropical Storm Harvey leaves Bermuda behind

Published on August 4, 2005 2:02 PM | Comments

From Reuters:

MIAMI -- Tropical Storm Harvey gained strength as it moved away from Bermuda today after it soaked the mid-Atlantic British colony but caused little disruption.

Harvey, the eighth tropical storm in a busy hurricane season, posed a threat only to ships as it moved toward the east-northeast over the open Atlantic Ocean.

Its sustained winds climbed to 65 mph and forecasters at the U.S. National Hurricane Center said it could gain a bit more strength in the next day.

The storm left Bermuda virtually unscathed, although several flights were canceled and the government halted ferries and restricted bus service on the island of 62,000 people.

At 10 a.m. CDT, Harvey's center was about 100 miles east of Bermuda and moving to the east-northeast at about 14 mph, the hurricane center said.

The storm passed about 30 miles to the south of the island at its closest approach.

Never in more than 150 years of record-keeping had the Atlantic hurricane season produced eight storms this early. Half of the June-to-November hurricane seasons since 1851 did not produce eight storms.

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration this week raised its forecast for the year, predicting up to 21 tropical storms, with as many as 11 reaching hurricane strength.

An average hurricane season has 10 tropical storms, with six becoming hurricanes and two strengthening into major hurricanes.



TROPICAL STORM HARVEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A

Published on August 4, 2005 8:33 AM | Comments

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM AST THU AUG 04 2005

...HARVEY BEGINNING TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM AST...1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.9 NORTH... LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES... 90 KM... SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY AND TONIGHT.
ON THIS TRACK...HARVEY WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM BERMUDA.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER....MAINLY TO THE SOUTHEAST.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER
BERMUDA.

REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...31.9 N... 63.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.



TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 7

Published on August 3, 2005 11:14 PM | Comments

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST WED AUG 03 2005

...HARVEY IS NOT STRENGTHENING AT THIS TIME...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A HURRICANE WATCH
INDICATES THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.8 WEST OR ABOUT
80 MILES... 130 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH ...20
KM/HR. THIS MOTION WILL BRING HARVEY VERY CLOSE TO BERMUDA EARLY
THURSDAY.

HARVEY HAS NOT STRENGTHENED DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS AND MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB...29.47 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH HARVEY.

REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...31.5 N... 65.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 998 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST.



Tropical Storm Harvey Approaches Bermuda

Published on August 3, 2005 2:26 PM | Comments

From All Headline News.com:

Miami, Fl. (AHN) - Tropical Storm Harvey is named Wednesday as it makes its way about 200 miles west-southwest of Bermuda, which remains under a tropical storm warning.

Harvey is currently swirling toward the north-northeast, but is expected to turn toward a more northeasterly track, while gaining strength. The storm center is forecast to pass very close to Bermuda Wednesday night.

Gusty winds and heavy showers are expected in the island nation over the next 24 hours.



Hello Harvey

Published on August 3, 2005 10:48 AM | Comments

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED AUG 03 2005

...DEPRESSION BECOMES EIGHTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.0 WEST OR ABOUT
215 MILES... 345 KM... WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH
...17 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL BE
INVESTIGATING HARVEY THIS AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES
...110 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH HARVEY.

REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...30.8 N... 68.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.

Published on August 2, 2005 10:24 PM | Comments

TD 8 has formed in the Atlantic - looks like no threat to the Caribbean but possibly could affect Bermuda:

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 PM AST TUE AUG 02 2005

...OUTER RAINBANDS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION BEGINNING TO SPREAD OVER
BERMUDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA... PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 PM AST... 0000Z... THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS
ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 68.8 WEST OR ABOUT
335 MILES... 540 KM... SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/HR. A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER
TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB... 29.80 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN BERMUDA IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...28.8 N... 68.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.