Caribbean-On-Line's Caribbean Hurricane Blog



TROPICAL STORM STAN ADVISORY NUMBER 5

Published on October 2, 2005 12:12 PM | Comments

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN OCT 02 2005

...STAN MOVING ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL NORTHWARD TO CABO CATOCHE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN COAST
OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE WESTWARD TO
CAMPECHE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM STAN WAS LOCATED
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA NEAR LATITUDE 19.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE
88.1 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 75 KM... SOUTHWEST OF TULUM MEXICO
AND ABOUT 145 MILES... 235 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.

STAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH ...11 KM/HR.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME INCREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. STAN WILL BE MOVING OVER
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FOR MOST OF TODAY...BUT IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE
INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STAN IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY...BUT REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 120 MILES
...195 KM FROM THE CENTER...IN RAINBANDS TO THE NORTHEAST AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND NORTHERN BELIZE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER EXTREME WESTERN CUBA.

REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...19.8 N... 88.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM CDT.



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