Hurricane rages on | Main | 2004-2005 hurricane seasons 'odd but explainable'
December 7, 2005
Next Hurricane Season Predicted to Be Milder
Well - how could anyone predict it to be busier than 2005? You would have to be crazy. I just hope the scientists are right:
"It is statistically unlikely that the coming 2006 and 2007 hurricane seasons will have the number of United States landfalling major hurricanes we have seen in the past two years," Gray said.
They said they expect 17 named storms, with nine becoming hurricanes. They think that five will become major hurricanes with winds over 111 mph.
"The 2006 Atlantic hurricane season will be an active one with net tropical cyclone activity about 195 percent of the average season," Klotzbach said.
More here.
Comments
Sorry Parveen for the delay, I just saw your question. Hurricane season starts on June 1 and lasts to November 1. Storms can crop up at any time though really. Hope this helps.
Posted by: Anthony at April 24, 2006 4:56 PM
I am thinking of going to Antigua in September, is it likely to be affected by hurricanes.
Thanks
Posted by: Vicky Tester at April 26, 2006 2:25 PM
September is when the season starts to heat up - but there is just no way of knowing for sure. The odds are definitely on your side though - the chance of a hurricane hitting a specific island on a specific day are very slim. A lot of people purchase trip insurance which can come in quite handy in case of a hurricane.
Posted by: Anthony at April 26, 2006 2:45 PM
I am considering going to Puerto Rico at the end of June and am really not a betting person but would like to know the probalitity of a large hurricane hitting San Juan in June, most of the research i have been able to view says hardly likely what is your thought?
Posted by: Sandi at May 22, 2006 6:30 PM
The odds are very much in your favor. Anything is possible of course but what you mention would be a very unlikely scenario. To say a hurricane is going to hit any exact spot like a specific city before there is even a storm on the radar is nearly impossible. It seems that post Katrina and the very active season of last year, a lot of people think that hurricanes are common and land everywhere in the Caribbean, which really is not true. Have a great trip!
Posted by: Anthony at May 23, 2006 5:22 AM
I understand there may be a La Niña effect this year. I have plans to be in St. Martin June 30 - July 7. I know weather can not always be predicted, but if the La Niña thing holds true, how likely would it be for a hurricane to occur in the Caribbean during the first week of July?
Posted by: weatherbug ![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://www.caribbean-on-line.com/hurricanes/nav-commenters.gif)
at April 23, 2007 3:19 PM
It is always much more unlikely - my previous answer pretty much holds true, that having a storm hit any one spot in any one week is pretty much impossible to estimate. You should get some trip insurance - it is affordable and works great from what I understand. We work with this company - CSA Travel Insurance
Posted by: Anthony at April 23, 2007 3:35 PM
We are thinking of going to San Juan, Puerto Rico early September 2007, is it likely to be affected by hurricanes.
Thanks
Ruth
Posted by: Ruth at August 21, 2007 1:46 PM
Ruth,
While September is the heart of hurricane season, the odds of a direct hit at any one time in a specific location are still like finding a needle in a haystack. If you are worried, think about trip insurance.
Posted by: Anthony at August 21, 2007 5:16 PM
I was just wondering when the hurricane season starts and ends in the caribbean. please and thank you.
Parveen
Posted by: Parveen at March 30, 2006 5:39 PM