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Caribbean-On-Line » Caribbean Hurricanes » Hurricane Dean » Tropical Storm Dean 11 AM Update, August 15

August 15, 2007

Tropical Storm Dean 11 AM Update, August 15

The 11 AM EST updates from the NHC basically are telling this story: Dean is small, but getting better organized and strengthening. The take away line from the forecast discussion is this:

"THE GFDL/HWRF/SHIPS MODELS ALL FORECAST DEAN TO BE A MAJOR HURRICANE BY DAY 5...AND SO DOES THE OFFICIAL FORECAST."

They also continue to move the track further south, while noting that the odds of that still being correct 72 hours from now are not that great. It will enter the Caribbean Sea as a hurricane however - that seems pretty certain at this point (as certain as you could be about the weather!).

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