TROPICAL STORM DEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 8 | Main | ...DEAN STRENGTHENS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...
August 15, 2007
Tropical Storm Dean 5 AM EST Update, August 15th
Good morning to the nearly 300 of you that have signed up for our alerts in the last two days. The 5 AM EST updates are out from the NHC and seemed to be saying that the conditions are in place for this storm to intensify. The various weather models that are monitored are not in agreement on the path (they never are - the NHC usually seems to take them all into account and come up with an average unless they have a strong opinion on something in particular) but in general it does seem to point to an even more westerly track, although a turn to the north can not be ruled out at some point. The forecast is for Dean to be a hurricane by 2 AM Friday. The current track makes it look like Martinique is in direct line of the storm at the moment, with perhaps Jamaica or Cuba in peril in another 5 or 6 days. A lot can happen in between though, but it is time to start planning if you are a Caribbean resident.
