November 2007 | Main | March 2008
December 14, 2007
25 Dead in Caribbean Tropical Storm Olga
More here.
December 13, 2007
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
...OLGA DEGENERATING INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WITH A FEW
SQUALLS...
AT 1000 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST OR ABOUT 80
MILES...130 KM...NORTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA AND ABOUT 235 MILES
...380 KM...EAST OF GRAND CAYMAN.
THE DEPRESSION HAS SLOWED DOWN AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST
NEAR 13 MPH...21 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS CONFINED TO A FEW SQUALLS NORTH OF THE CENTER. THE DEPRESSION
IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS OR SO.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
OLGA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
TO 2 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...EASTERN CUBA...JAMAICA
AND HISPANIOLA. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM EST POSITION...18.9 N...77.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
Tropical Storm Olga Kills at Least 8 in Caribbean
From the VOA:
The northern province of Santiago in the Caribbean nation was hardest hit, with heavy rains causing the Yaque River to overflow its banks. In addition to widespread flooding, the storm is being blamed for several landslides.
Olga had earlier passed through Puerto Rico, where it is being blamed for killing one man. It later skirted Haiti, which shares the island Hispaniola with the Dominican Republic. Haitian authorities have not reported any serious injuries.
Weather forecasters say the storm is likely to weaken as it passes out over open water.
Olga comes nearly two weeks after the official end of the Atlantic hurricane season.
The season began June 1 and ended November 30.
December 3, 2007
U.S. upgrades storm Karen as hurricane season ends
Aha - we had six hurricanes this year:
The U.S. National Hurricane Center, in a post-season analysis of Karen, said the storm briefly reached hurricane intensity on Sept. 26, with winds of 65 knots, equal to 74.8 mph (120 kph) or just over the threshold at which tropical storms become hurricanes.
The upgrade of Karen took the 2007 season's hurricane toll to six, bang on the long-term average. The 14 named storms that formed exceeded the long-term average of around 10 for a six-month Atlantic hurricane season.
Average Atlantic hurricane season draws to an end
From AFP:
A total of 14 named storms, including six hurricanes developed in 2007, making it an average season.
Forecasters had initially expected at least 17 named storms, nine of them hurricanes to form during the six-month Atlantic season that officially ends on November 30.
"The reasons for this year's average season are challenging to explain," said Phil Klotzbach of the prominent Colorado State University hurricane forecast team.
"It is impossible to understand how all these processes interact with each other to 100-percent certainty," Klotzbach said in a report published on Tuesday, which looked at vertical wind sheer, sea surface temperatures and other elements that affect the formation of hurricanes.
Last year also had been quieter than initially feared, in sharp contrast with the record-setting 2005 Atlantic hurricane season when Katrina devastated New Orleans and part of the US Gulf coast.
"The seasonal hurricane forecasters certainly have a lot of explaining to do," said Max Mayfield, former director of the National Hurricane Center.
"The last couple of years have humbled the seasonal hurricane forecasters and pointed out that we have a lot more to learn before we can do accurate seasonal forecasts," he told The Miami Herald.
While there were fewer hurricanes than initially anticipated this year, two of those that formed in the Caribbean hit land with rare fury, packing maximum sustained winds of more than 249 kilometers (155 miles) per hour. That marked the first time on record that two Atlantic hurricanes made landfall at the topmost category five on the Saffir-Simpson intensity scale.
In August, Hurricane Dean killed at least 29 people in a rampage through the Caribbean and Mexico. The following month, Hurricane Felix killed about 150 people and wrought a trail of devastation along Nicaragua's impoverished Caribbean coast.




