Caribbean-On-Line's Caribbean Hurricane Blog



Omar has rapidly intensified

Published on October 14, 2008 5:08 PM | Comments

This is not looking good for the Virgin Islands - the storm is now much more powerful than was forecast just this morning:

TROPICAL STORM OMAR DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152008 500 PM EDT TUE OCT 14 2008

SATELLITE...RADAR...AND AIR FORCE RECON DATA INDICATE THAT OMAR HAS RAPIDLY INTENSIFIED THIS AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH MAXIMUM 850 MB FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OBSERVED HAVE ONLY BEEN 63 KT...RELIABLE SFMR SURFACE WIND DATA HAVE BEEN AS HIGH 57-60 KT ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION CENTER. THE LOWEST CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY A DROPSONDE WAS 986 MB...BUT THE SURFACE WIND WAS 46 KT. THEREFORE... THE PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE 982 MB AND THE INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO A CONSERVATIVE 60 KT. OMAR CONTINUES TO GET BETTER ORGANIZED IN BOTH RADAR AND SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND VERY COLD CLOUD TOPS OF -80C TO -87C PERSIST OVER AND NEAR THE CIRCULATION CENTER. ON THE LAST PASS THROUGH THE CENTER OF OMAR...THE FLIGHT CREW REPORTED A 10-15 NMI DIAMETER EYE WAS FORMING. OUTFLOW ALSO CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND EXPAND IN ALL QUADRANTS...EXCEPT TO THE NORTHWEST WHERE IT IS SLIGHTLY RESTRICTED.



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