Caribbean-On-Line » Caribbean Hurricanes » Caribbean Weather News » Tropical Weather Update
September 11, 2010
Tropical Weather Update
Igor looks to become a major hurricane in the coming week, but the current forecast track does take it north of the Caribbean basin. Whether it impacts the Bahamas, Bermuda, or the east coast of the U.S. is still a little too far away for the NHC to predict.
Also of note is an area of storm in the southern part of the Caribbean - this is sort of a rare spot for a storm to develop from but it looks like it will become a storm eventually in the Caribbean basin - meaning the Leeward and Windward Islands will be clear of it already, but it could possibly impact Cuba, Jamaica, the Caymans, etc. Again - it is early to see where the NHC puts the path of this potential storm.
Lastly there is a vigorous wave coming off of Africa they are watching. The official take is below:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT SEP 11 2010
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM IGOR...LOCATED ABOUT 915 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.
1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE INCREASED IN ASSOCIATION WITH A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT...
AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD
INTO THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. THERE IS A HIGH
CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
2. A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED NEAR THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA IS
SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TO THE
WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.
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Posted on September 11, 2010 5:44 PM
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Posted on September 11, 2010 10:40 PM
Thanks for all the regualar updates, this is one email I always check, please keep me update with igor everyday, since my country is in its pathway
Posted on September 13, 2010 6:50 PM